Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000555 0.000631 0.000712 0.000803 0.000905 0.001012 0.001136
2026-01-25 0.000442 0.000549 0.000669 0.000815 0.000985 0.001176 0.001408
2026-02-01 0.000377 0.000496 0.000637 0.000815 0.001030 0.001282 0.001595
2026-02-08 0.000315 0.000439 0.000591 0.000790 0.001040 0.001341 0.001727
2026-02-15 0.000269 0.000394 0.000554 0.000770 0.001050 0.001396 0.001849
2026-02-22 0.000237 0.000364 0.000532 0.000766 0.001076 0.001468 0.001994
2026-03-01 0.000212 0.000340 0.000514 0.000764 0.001104 0.001542 0.002139
2026-03-08 0.000187 0.000314 0.000492 0.000754 0.001118 0.001596 0.002261
2026-03-15 0.000166 0.000289 0.000469 0.000741 0.001126 0.001643 0.002371
2026-03-22 0.000156 0.000282 0.000470 0.000760 0.001179 0.001749 0.002564
2026-03-29 0.000144 0.000271 0.000466 0.000770 0.001220 0.001839 0.002735
2026-04-05 0.000130 0.000254 0.000449 0.000763 0.001233 0.001891 0.002856
2026-04-12 0.000117 0.000238 0.000434 0.000755 0.001246 0.001944 0.002980
2026-04-19 0.000108 0.000228 0.000428 0.000762 0.001281 0.002028 0.003151
2026-04-26 0.000099 0.000217 0.000419 0.000763 0.001306 0.002099 0.003303
2026-05-03 0.000087 0.000199 0.000395 0.000739 0.001293 0.002112 0.003372
2026-05-10 0.000076 0.000183 0.000376 0.000721 0.001285 0.002134 0.003453
2026-05-17 0.000069 0.000173 0.000365 0.000716 0.001300 0.002187 0.003582
2026-05-24 0.000064 0.000165 0.000357 0.000714 0.001318 0.002247 0.003721
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000154 0.000344 0.000705 0.001323 0.002285 0.003828
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000144 0.000331 0.000692 0.001322 0.002315 0.003923
2026-06-14 0.000049 0.000143 0.000334 0.000710 0.001373 0.002426 0.004143
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000139 0.000333 0.000721 0.001411 0.002517 0.004333